1.Orlando – Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky: No surprise here, he’s going first regardless of who gets the pick. Elite shot blocking and defense make him the No. 1 overall despite the injury.
2.Charlotte– Ben McLemore G, Kansas: The Bobcats need to score and McLemore can be that guy alongside Kemba and MKG.
3.Cleveland-Shabazz Muhammad G, UCLA: A partner for Kyrie Irving, he didn’t mature quite as well as I thought, but this class is weak and that is good enough for him to go third.
4.Phoenix-Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana – The Suns played little to no defense this year and Oladipo brings intensity to a young lineup.
5.New Orleans-Trey Burke PG Michigan – The NPOY will be alongside Anthony Davis as they try and bring the Pelicans back to the playoffs.
6.Sacramento– Mason Plumlee PF, Duke
7.Washington-Alex Len C, Maryland
8.Detroit-Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown
9.Minnesota-Kelly Olynyk, PF, Gonzaga
10.Portland-Shane Larkin PG, Miami
11.Toronto-Anthony Bennett PF, UNLV
12.Philadelphia-CJ McCollum, PG Lehigh
13.Dallas-Gorgui Dieng, C Louisville
14.Utah-Michael Carter-Williams, SG Syracuse
| W | L | Combinations (out of 1000) | Probability of 1st Pick | |
| Orlando | 20 | 62 | 250 | 0.25 |
| Charlotte | 21 | 61 | 199 | 0.199 |
| Cleveland | 24 | 58 | 156 | 0.156 |
| Phoenix | 25 | 57 | 119 | 0.119 |
| New Orleans | 27 | 55 | 88 | 0.088 |
| Scramento | 28 | 54 | 63 | 0.063 |
| Washington | 29 | 53 | 36/35 | 0.0035-.0036 |
| Detroit | 29 | 53 | 36/35 | 0.0035-.0036 |
| Minnesota | 31 | 51 | 17 | 0.017 |
| Portland | 33 | 49 | 11 | 0.011 |
| Toronto | 34 | 48 | 8 | 0.008 |
| Phildelphia | 34 | 48 | 7 | 0.007 |
| Dallas | 41 | 41 | 6 | 0.006 |
| Utah | 43 | 39 | 5 | 0.005 |
