NBA Mock Draft Board and Lottery Chances

1.Orlando – Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky: No surprise here, he’s going first regardless of who gets the pick. Elite shot blocking and defense make him the No. 1 overall despite the injury.

2.Charlotte- Ben McLemore G, Kansas: The Bobcats need to score and McLemore can be that guy alongside Kemba and MKG.

3.Cleveland-Shabazz Muhammad G, UCLA: A partner for Kyrie Irving, he didn’t mature quite as well as I thought, but this class is weak and that is good enough for him to go third.

4.Phoenix-Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana – The Suns played little to no defense this year and Oladipo brings intensity to a young lineup.

5.New Orleans-Trey Burke PG Michigan – The NPOY will be alongside Anthony Davis as they try and bring the Pelicans back to the playoffs.

6.Sacramento- Mason Plumlee PF, Duke

7.Washington-Alex Len C, Maryland

8.Detroit-Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

9.Minnesota-Kelly Olynyk, PF, Gonzaga

10.Portland-Shane Larkin PG, Miami

11.Toronto-Anthony BennettĀ  PF, UNLV

12.Philadelphia-CJ McCollum, PG Lehigh

13.Dallas-Gorgui Dieng, C Louisville

14.Utah-Michael Carter-Williams, SG Syracuse

W L Combinations (out of 1000) Probability of 1st Pick
Orlando 20 62 250 0.25
Charlotte 21 61 199 0.199
Cleveland 24 58 156 0.156
Phoenix 25 57 119 0.119
New Orleans 27 55 88 0.088
Scramento 28 54 63 0.063
Washington 29 53 36/35 0.0035-.0036
Detroit 29 53 36/35 0.0035-.0036
Minnesota 31 51 17 0.017
Portland 33 49 11 0.011
Toronto 34 48 8 0.008
Phildelphia 34 48 7 0.007
Dallas 41 41 6 0.006
Utah 43 39 5 0.005
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